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Fourth Republic — Tinubuevent2023–2026· Chapter

The Reversal File · Act VIII — Tinubu Suspensions (Cybersecurity Levy, Expat Levy, FX-Duty)

The 0.5% Cybersecurity Levy on bank transfers (May 2024, suspended 17 May 2024), the $15,000 Expatriate Employment Levy (Feb 2024, suspended Mar 2024), and the Customs FX-for-duty reversion (June 2024) — three Tinubu-era policies pulled within weeks of announcement under organised business and labour protest.

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The Tinubu government has produced more rapid policy reversals in three years than any administration since IBB. Three are emblematic.

## 0.5% Cybersecurity Levy (May 2024)

On 6 May 2024 the CBN issued a directive that all electronic bank transfers would attract a 0.5% cybersecurity levy under the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention etc.) (Amendment) Act 2024. Banks were ordered to begin deductions within two weeks.

The public reaction — coming a year into a cost-of-living crisis — was immediate. The NLC threatened a general strike. The Manufacturers Association of Nigeria and the Bank Customers Association filed a court action. On 17 May 2024 — 11 days after the directive — President Tinubu ordered the suspension of the levy pending a "comprehensive review". As of 2026 it has not been reinstated.

## Expatriate Employment Levy (February 2024)

The Expatriate Employment Levy, announced on 27 February 2024, required Nigerian employers of foreign workers to pay $15,000 per director-level expat and $10,000 per other expat, annually. Designed to discourage the employment of foreigners in roles Nigerians could fill, it was modelled loosely on the Singaporean foreign-worker levy. The reaction from foreign chambers of commerce (US, UK, France, China), foreign direct investors and the Nigerian Economic Summit Group was uniform: the levy would simply price Nigeria out of FDI consideration. Tinubu suspended the levy on 8 March 2024 — 10 days after its announcement.

## Customs FX-for-Duty Reversion (June 2024)

In February 2024 the Nigeria Customs Service moved the FX rate used to calculate import duty from the (then) administered rate of about ₦950/$ to the prevailing market rate of ₦1,650/$. Importers' duty bills rose by roughly 70% overnight. After two months of importer protests and a sharp jump in the cost of imported food, Customs reverted to a frozen rate for duty calculation — effectively reinstating the pre-reform regime for that one purpose. The reversion was never formally announced but became clear from Customs daily FX-for-duty notices.

## What Tinubu's reversals reveal

Three patterns:

  1. Speed of capitulation has accelerated. Buhari took 16 months to reverse the border closure. Tinubu reverses in 10 days when organised business protests.
  2. The reversal is selective. The most painful reforms — petrol subsidy removal, FX unification, electricity tariff hikes — have not been reversed. Only the policies that hurt politically connected business have been.
  3. The F.O.O.D logic survives the reversals. Each suspended levy left the protected operators (banks, importers, expat-employing firms) untouched; each surviving reform shifted cost to the unprotected (subsidy removal hit transport; FX unification hit imported food). See The King of F.O.O.D.

The Reversal File closes on the recurring lesson of Nigerian policy: the country's U-turn cycle is not failure of will but a structural feature. Policy is announced to extract rent or signal toughness; reversal is the mechanism by which the constituency that pays the cost negotiates relief. The losers are usually the same people. See Patterns of Violence.

Era context

The political and economic reality

The government(s), economy and national reality across the period 2023–2026.

President · Fourth Republic

Muhammadu Buhari

2015–2023· APC

National reality

Two recessions (2016, 2020). Multiple naira devaluations. ASUU strike of 2022 closed federal universities for ~9 months. End SARS protests (Oct 2020); Lekki Toll Gate incident. Out-of-school children >18 million by 2022.

Crises of the period

  • 2016 recession + FX crisis
  • End SARS + Lekki Toll Gate (Oct 2020)
  • COVID-19 lockdown (2020)
  • 9-month ASUU strike (2022)
  • Naira redesign chaos (Q1 2023)

GDP (World Bank)

$494 bn (2015) → $477 bn (2022)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Finance

    Kemi Adeosun (2015–18); Zainab Ahmed (2018–23)

  • Justice (AGF)

    Abubakar Malami (SAN)

  • Education

    Mallam Adamu Adamu (2015–23)

  • Petroleum

    Muhammadu Buhari (concurrent); Min. of State Ibe Kachikwu then Timipre Sylva

Sources · Federal Gazette 2015–23 · CBN · NBS

President · Fourth Republic

Sen. Bola Ahmed Tinubu

2023–present· APC

National reality

Fuel subsidy removed at inauguration (29 May 2023); naira floated June 2023. Inflation at multi-decade highs (>30% YoY in 2024). Student loan scheme (NELFUND) launched 2024. WAEC torchlight exam controversy (2025).

Crises of the period

  • Cost-of-living crisis 2023–25
  • WAEC torchlight examinations (2025)
  • JAMB CBT technical failures (2025)
  • Naira free-fall 2023–24

GDP (World Bank)

≈ $363 bn (2023, post-float)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Finance

    Wale Edun (Coordinating Minister of the Economy)

  • Justice (AGF)

    Lateef Fagbemi (SAN)

  • Education

    Tahir Mamman (2023–24); Tunji Alausa (2024– )

Sources · Federal Gazette 2023– · CBN · NBS

The Republic — Weekly

One article a week. Stories, consorts, records, heroes — on a four-week rotation.

Methodology

Tier 1 · primary

Courts. Gazettes. National archives.

Tier 2 · corroborating

OCCRP. HRW. BudgIT. TheCable.

Tier 4 · tertiary, flagged

Wikipedia only where primary is pending. Always labelled.