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Securityevent2002 — present· Chapter

Boko Haram — From Mohammed Yusuf to Shekau to ISWAP

Founded in 2002 by Mohammed Yusuf in Maiduguri as a quietist Salafi movement, militarised after his extrajudicial killing in 2009, internationalised through the 2014 Chibok abductions, fractured in 2016 into JAS and ISWAP. Over 40,000 killed, 2.4 million displaced.

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Boko Haram — properly Jama'atu Ahlis Sunna Lidda'awati wal-Jihad (JAS, 'People Committed to the Propagation of the Prophet's Teachings and Jihad') — was founded around 2002 in Maiduguri by Mohammed Yusuf, a charismatic young preacher of Kanuri-Shuwa origin trained in Saudi Arabia, who rejected Western education (boko, in Hausa loanword for English-style learning) as haram (forbidden).

Phase I (2002–2009) — Quietist Salafism: Yusuf built a community of several thousand followers around the Markaz mosque in Maiduguri, ran a network of religious schools and modest farms, and broke publicly with the Borno State government over what he called 'corrupt official Islam'. His sermons attacked the secular Nigerian state, the established Borno Emirate, the NPF and Western medicine, but the movement was unarmed and primarily oratorical.

Phase II (July 2009) — The Trigger: A minor traffic-rule confrontation between Yusuf's followers and Borno State police (over motorcycle helmets, ironically a piece of secular safety regulation) escalated into a five-day urban uprising across Maiduguri, Bauchi, Yobe and Kano. Joint Task Force operations killed an estimated 800 Yusuf followers. Yusuf was captured alive, paraded on camera to the press, and then extrajudicially executed in Borno State Police HQ on 30 July 2009. The execution video circulated globally and became the founding atrocity narrative of the militarised phase.

Phase III (2010–2014) — Insurgency: Under Abubakar Shekau, Yusuf's deputy, JAS reconstituted as a clandestine armed group, bombed the UN building in Abuja (26 August 2011), Madalla St Theresa Catholic Church (Christmas Day 2011), the THIS DAY office in Abuja, and progressively occupied LGAs across Borno, Yobe and Adamawa.

Phase IV (April 2014) — Chibok: On 14 April 2014, JAS fighters abducted 276 schoolgirls from Government Girls Secondary School Chibok, Borno State. The #BringBackOurGirls campaign — co-founded by Oby Ezekwesili and Hadiza Bala Usman — became the largest social-media protest in African history at that point and was a contributor to Goodluck Jonathan's 2015 electoral defeat. As of 2024, 96 of the original 276 girls remain unaccounted for.

Phase V (March 2015) — Bay'ah to ISIS & the Split: Shekau pledged allegiance to ISIS in March 2015. In August 2016 ISIS named Abu Musab al-Barnawi (son of Mohammed Yusuf) as the new wali of West Africa, splitting the movement. The al-Barnawi faction became Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP); Shekau retained the JAS rump. JAS focused on civilian terror and suicide bombings; ISWAP focused on military targets, taxation of civilian populations in occupied areas, and a deliberately less indiscriminate insurgent strategy.

Phase VI (May 2021 — present): Shekau killed himself with a suicide vest during an ISWAP assault on his Sambisa Forest headquarters in May 2021. JAS has since fragmented further. ISWAP has consolidated control of Lake Chad islands and remains the more dangerous of the two factions in 2026.

Total documented death toll across 2009–2024 is approximately 40,000 (ACLED, ICG). Displacement: 2.4 million IDPs in Borno, Yobe, Adamawa and across the Lake Chad Basin (UNHCR, 2024). The Multinational Joint Task Force (Nigeria, Chad, Niger, Cameroon, Benin) has operated since 2015. The structural drivers — Borno's economic collapse, demographic youth bulge, and the breakdown of traditional Borno Caliphate authority — remain unaddressed.

Era context

The political and economic reality

The government(s), economy and national reality across the period 2002–2026.

President · Fourth Republic

Chief Olusegun Obasanjo

1999–2007· PDP

National reality

Return to civilian rule, 29 May 1999. Telecoms deregulation (2001) — GSM revolution. Paris Club exit, October 2005 ($30 bn debt relief, Okonjo-Iweala). Pension Reform 2004. EFCC established 2003.

Crises of the period

  • Third Term agenda defeated 2006
  • Niger Delta militancy intensifies
  • ASUU strikes; Sharia introduction in 12 northern states

GDP (World Bank)

$59 bn (1999) → $166 bn (2007)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Finance

    Adamu Ciroma (1999–2003); Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala (2003–06)

  • Education

    Tunde Adeniran; Babalola Borishade; Fabian Osuji; Chinwe Obaji; Oby Ezekwesili

  • Health

    Prof. ABC Nwosu

Sources · Federal Gazette 1999–2007 · CBN · World Bank WDI

President · Fourth Republic

Alhaji Umaru Musa Yar'Adua

2007–2010· PDP

National reality

Niger Delta amnesty programme (2009). Yar'Adua became gravely ill in late 2009; the Doctrine of Necessity (Feb 2010) made Goodluck Jonathan Acting President. Yar'Adua died 5 May 2010.

Crises of the period

  • Yar'Adua medical absence + cabal
  • Niger Delta amnesty negotiations
  • Boko Haram founding violence (Maiduguri 2009)

GDP (World Bank)

$166 bn (2007) → $369 bn (2010, post-rebasing trajectory)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Education

    Igwe Aja-Nwachuku; Dr. Sam Egwu

Source · Federal Gazette 2007–10

President · Fourth Republic

Dr. Goodluck Ebele Jonathan

2010–2015· PDP

National reality

GDP rebasing April 2014 made Nigeria Africa's largest economy. Chibok abduction 14 April 2014 (276 girls). Sovereign Wealth Fund established 2012. Fuel-subsidy protests January 2012. Lost the 2015 election — first incumbent defeated.

Crises of the period

  • #OccupyNigeria fuel-subsidy protests (Jan 2012)
  • Chibok abduction (Apr 2014)
  • Boko Haram caliphate at peak (2014)
  • Oil price crash from mid-2014

GDP (World Bank)

$369 bn (2010) → $546 bn (2014, post-rebasing — largest African economy)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Finance

    Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala (Coordinating Minister of the Economy)

  • Education

    Ruqayyatu Ahmed Rufa'i; Ibrahim Shekarau

  • Petroleum

    Diezani Alison-Madueke

Sources · Federal Gazette 2010–15 · NBS GDP rebasing report 2014

President · Fourth Republic

Muhammadu Buhari

2015–2023· APC

National reality

Two recessions (2016, 2020). Multiple naira devaluations. ASUU strike of 2022 closed federal universities for ~9 months. End SARS protests (Oct 2020); Lekki Toll Gate incident. Out-of-school children >18 million by 2022.

Crises of the period

  • 2016 recession + FX crisis
  • End SARS + Lekki Toll Gate (Oct 2020)
  • COVID-19 lockdown (2020)
  • 9-month ASUU strike (2022)
  • Naira redesign chaos (Q1 2023)

GDP (World Bank)

$494 bn (2015) → $477 bn (2022)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Finance

    Kemi Adeosun (2015–18); Zainab Ahmed (2018–23)

  • Justice (AGF)

    Abubakar Malami (SAN)

  • Education

    Mallam Adamu Adamu (2015–23)

  • Petroleum

    Muhammadu Buhari (concurrent); Min. of State Ibe Kachikwu then Timipre Sylva

Sources · Federal Gazette 2015–23 · CBN · NBS

President · Fourth Republic

Sen. Bola Ahmed Tinubu

2023–present· APC

National reality

Fuel subsidy removed at inauguration (29 May 2023); naira floated June 2023. Inflation at multi-decade highs (>30% YoY in 2024). Student loan scheme (NELFUND) launched 2024. WAEC torchlight exam controversy (2025).

Crises of the period

  • Cost-of-living crisis 2023–25
  • WAEC torchlight examinations (2025)
  • JAMB CBT technical failures (2025)
  • Naira free-fall 2023–24

GDP (World Bank)

≈ $363 bn (2023, post-float)

Cabinet (selected portfolios)

  • Finance

    Wale Edun (Coordinating Minister of the Economy)

  • Justice (AGF)

    Lateef Fagbemi (SAN)

  • Education

    Tahir Mamman (2023–24); Tunji Alausa (2024– )

Sources · Federal Gazette 2023– · CBN · NBS

The Republic — Weekly

One article a week. Stories, consorts, records, heroes — on a four-week rotation.

Methodology

Tier 1 · primary

Courts. Gazettes. National archives.

Tier 2 · corroborating

OCCRP. HRW. BudgIT. TheCable.

Tier 4 · tertiary, flagged

Wikipedia only where primary is pending. Always labelled.